Seems to me the longer our economies are mismanaged (our's, our gov't's, and the the gov't's of the world), the more volatile the markets are. The bubble's are coming more frequently, but not lasting as long. Eventually it will all crater. We all only assume precious metals will still be precious then. What will really be precious is food, guns, gas, and freedom. Gold and silver might still be too, hard to say.
Now for the time at hand, what I consider semi-precious metals (copper, aluminum, nickel, etc) are hovering around major support areas. Its too soon to tell if they are going to reaffirm those supports or fall through. Silver has not had a rally like the past 3 years and has no longterm major support levels since $10, but $20 is about its breakout price 3 years ago. I think silver under $20 is a good buy for longterm investing, and $15 or less a great buy for long or short term investing (5 years or less being short term), just my gut and opinion. I'm not selling my copper until I know what decision its going to make. If it goes down, I have my hoard and will add to that. If it goes up, I've lost nothing by holding. I don't deal in gold/silver (except for
e-scrap) so its just an indicator.
Now, precious metals are safe havens, and the recent indicators of an improving economy are being cited for the drop in prices. Jobless claims dropping, housing markets improving, etc. I think the numbers are still pretty soft and the prices are dropping too much in comparison. I also don't feel like the US or world economies are improving that much, nor have the core problems been alleviated, so the fundamentals for a strong economic recovery aren't there yet. If a recovery happens, your production metals should find strength and stabilize if not rise some.
Scrap is only part of what I do. While the metals market is unstable and dropping, I'm not spending TIME doing my scrap but am still watching for deals and will continue to accumulate. For those that scrap full time, then they gotta adjust there prices and make their money on the margin anyway. Sorry, I deviated from SILVER a little...
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