There is definitely an awakening of a sleeping industry happening. Locally to me the copper smelting plant north of Menasha is currently undergoing retrofitting with plans to reopen their doors for the first time since the 90s. MetalTek has added a third shift, again first time since 2002. It even looks like the shelved iron mine project up north is going to be back on the ballet this summer. There is ALOT more energy surrounding it now than there was two years ago when they struck it down.
Familiar as I am with materials of all sorts i can tell you it is not the WALL that we need steel but the roads. A single interchange can use 55,000 tons of steel. Now...some of you might know that these days rebar can be made out of glass reinforced nylon as well. Why is this a good thing? Well, back in the day (80s, 90s?) you could recycle vinyl and nylon and they both paid about as well as stainless steel. The plastics industry is due for a good boost.
What does this mean long term? Say...over the next ten years?
Immediately a new Chinese trade deal could lower our sold goods prices...not so much sheet iron or aluminum but certainly copper, PCBs, all manners of electronics...probably plastics too. So what now? Well, right away you should look carefully that whom you deal with, where the material goes and have some expectations for prices to swing one way or the other. In laymans terms it's simple, if you are lucky to be selling high, top tier stuff on your not so top tier material, expect those deals to end soon. Likely the Chinese will want to buckle down on bulk shipment values, meaning they may ask for things to be of higher overall value or require they be stripped a certain way, possibly ground down. Certainly going to affect copper price over the coming months, something like 40% of the market is immediate exports anyways.
That's my take, could be completely wrong but it doesnt hurt to shift gears and contact your alternative outlets should exports be hurt significantly.
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