All joking aside about stealing metal plates and gold teeth....
Commodities prices are absolutely terrible. Crude oil has crashed, and is still coming down. Grain prices are terrible- one of the local barley companies has reduced it's contracts from between 15-50% for all growers. That means that if you grew 100 acres annually for them, the
most they'd let you grow for them is now 85. The prices are that low. Animal prices (Beef, pork,...) are down too, and the big one here-
scrap prices are completely crashed. I can remember when shred (Your average "junk"- washing machines, old farm equipment, that metal plate mentioned by alloy2,....) was paying close to $200 a ton. Today, the yard is paying $0/Ton. You bring it in, and they'll tell you "have a nice day!" The problem isn't high supply, it's low demand.
The economy is in a terrible mess right now. Half of our main street is available for rent, and the rest of the businesses are struggling or for sale. I judge how businesses are doing based on their equipment. If they're doing well, they'll buy a new truck, computer, or something of the like. If they're having a rough year, the older truck lasts another year. Things are so bad right now that I'm seeing businesses replacing trucks with older ones. That's right- they're going backwards! What does that mean? Simple- they used the old truck until it was done. But, they then couldn't afford a newer one, so they bought what they could. That's not a good sign. There are a fair amount of 30 year old trucks doing daily service out here. I can't remember seeing this many 1980s trucks 10 years ago.
We had two scrapyards in our town. One closed completely. The other one is only open, because they're owned by a construction/trucking outfit that has the equipment and land already. They've reallocated most of their workers, though. It's an absolute ghost town now. They're at $0, and charging for metal is unfeasible if you're a scrapyard (Out here, the old farm equipment will just sit another decade), so the prices are cutting into margins. That's not good.
I'm the same way as you are, though- I worked for myself when I was still in High School- I was the only one at the school who had a sign on the side of my truck advertising computer repairs (They were next to the highway, so why not?). I've worked for other places and have done contract work- I hate it. I love working for myself. I work with the great people of this forum every day, but if that opportunity wasn't there, I'd be doing something else for myself.
I don't know anything about New Jersey- I've never been any farther east than Kansas City, MO. But, out here, there are demands for mechanics and HVAC technicians. Maybe there's a future in that. I drove around in an F150 for a few years repairing computers- it wasn't bad. There are less than 50k people in the two counties I serviced, so that was the issue.
Talking with an accountant is a great plan. I'd also recommend the SBA. Even though they're more known for loans, they have people that you can talk to about your business plans and receive feedback from. Five years ago, I wasn't aware that my career even existed. Who knows what's out there.
Scrapping can be a great business, but I think I'd wait the storm out. With costs of starting a yard in the millions, and prices of all commodities this deflated, I'd wait this cycle out. Maybe there's another edge for you, though-
E-Waste for example. Instead of millions in equipment, you need a warehouse and a reliable truck. It's worked pretty well for me!
Best of luck!
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