Originally Posted by
RLS0812
Silver use to be priced under $5 for many MANY years.
Since
deregulation in the mid 60's, the price has only spiked twice - once because of the
Hunt Brothers scandal, and the other during the 2008 real estate / financial bubble popping.
Edit: in the last 5 years, there has been
no real volatility in silver. In my opinion, there is no point holding on to something that appreciates in value less than the
inflation rate.
Everyone seems to mention the Hunt Bros. when talking about the big silver spike in the late 70's and early 1980. But how does that account for gold going from $35 to $875 an ounce at the same time silver made it's big move? Also, the Hunt Brothers made a big mistake IMHO by borrowing to finance their silver purchases. Some would say this was collusion, but when the banks refused to lend anymore to them and when the exchanges said they would accept sellers only, but not buyers (an exception was made for certain parties buying to close out a short position) the metal was in a position where it should have been obvious that it was in for a big fall.
I do frequently wonder if there are some wealthy parties trying to figure out how to corner the silver market without using margin, so they don't have to worry about loans being cut off or called in. And it wouldn't have to be silver. It could perhaps be something like nickel or an exotic rare earth element.
The silver market is EXTREMELY difficult to gauge and a lot of that has to do with paper shorting of silver. The paper markets are said to be 100 times as big or larger than the market for physical silver. If you want a more in-depth analysis, look up what Ted (Theodore) Butler of Florida has to say about this. It has been used to manipulate the price of silver for many years.
I remember back in late 2010 there was talk about those owning silver futures doing the unthinkable and demanding that the physical silver be made available for delivery rather than taking cash. I also remember some people saying they were offered cash premiums of 20-30% to take cash as a substitute for the physical silver. It was a very interesting time. Complicated subject for sure.
Bookmarks