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EU To fall apart?

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    Ewasted started this thread.
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    EU To fall apart?

    Anyone here watch international news... it is interesting to see on European TV a lot of discussion about the major economic issues with the EU. Greece will NEVER be able to pay off its debt and now (and for quite some time ) Portugal, Spain, Italy among other are in a major debt crises with ultimately Germany being the ones carrying the cross.



    Curious to know what your thoughts are on the EU falling apart, perhaps the Euro going away and what it means to the US dollar as well as Gold and other metals - copper, aluminum, etc.
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    PartTimeScrapper's Avatar
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    If the EURO fails it will be the same as the dollar failing now. So if it does watch out the US banks have alot invested in the EURO and will it will be the start of a major downturn in the world economy if it fails. If that happens price of gold and other PM will skyrocket. If you have paper gold and silver now would be a good time to turn it in to physical.

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    ScrapperStoke's Avatar
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    These guys have a lot of good info on this subject. If you sign up for the free news letter you can read some of their reports without paying for it.

    Stratfor

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    Quote Originally Posted by Kris Kringle View Post
    Just a thought here Hopefully someone can answer How much would a Loaf of bread be in Gold? or a Cup of Coffee? 1 Flake?

    I could never see us going to a gold standard again there would be no way that I could see paying for stuff in gold.
    A starbucks coffie is what $5? Currently a quater minted between 1916 and 1964 is valued at $5.74 worth of silver. So the coffie would cost you a quarter The bread at $2 a loaf would cost you a dime minted in the same year.

    Also the gold standard doesnt meanyou pay in gold. Just that the currancy printed by the government is backed by gold not a promise.

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    Mick's Avatar
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    Latest news is that Germany is in trouble, too, and the EU may start looking to the US to bail them out (no, I'm not making this up; I don't have that much of an imagination).
    People may laugh at me, but that's ok. I laugh all the way to the bank.

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    Yes germany only sold 60% of thier bond offering this week. They are the strongist market in the EURO. If the EURO falls the world will follow just the same if the US market crashes.

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    Not sure what it would do MDG. Ijust kow if the economy in EURO zone takes a dive USA is not far behind it. If that happens then it will be just like the german marks after WW2. Will cost you $100,000 for a tank of gas because the dollar as it is wont be worth anything. BUt youll still be able to barter and trade your valuables. Like gold and silver and what not. I saw this on American Guns the other night. The guy was buying a gun collection and paid the guy cash plus 3 oz of gold.

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    Hyper inflation would follow along with a collapse of the entire global markets and trillions and trillions of dollars would be sucked out of the market in a matter of days and minutes. Our dollar would be worthless and a hundred dollar bill might buy you a loaf of bread. Look at Zimbabwe. There currency collapsed and they had to start printing billion dollar bills I think and it happened so quickly. Glass-stegall and going back to the gold standard is basically impossible to do at this point in my opinion. The price of gold would go to 10,000 an ounce overnight or in a matter of days. There would be a huge boon in the mining industry though which is always good for the scrap industry. I can't see scrap prices falling to pre-2003 prices though. To all of you new scrappers. I can remember the day they turned out the lights on LTV for good. Two years worth of coils sitting to be shipped. They just ran till they couldn't do it anymore similar to whats happening with our government right now. I can remember getting 80 bucks a ton from the yard for torch material. They didn't want it. The yards were stacked with material to the sky no one was buying 44 steel mills were in bankruptcy as of 2002. When they came out of bankruptcy all of the survivors that were started back up and sold to a buyer. The others were scraped or mothballed. They now run so efficiently they start up and shut down with zero problems and have a good count on what they buy as far as raw materials and how much they produce.

    This is the same thing that needs to happen to the top 20 countries were Debt to GDP eating up the GDP. All you are paying on is interests payments at this point for the good old USA. We are running on fumes. The correction and subsequent hitting of the restart button needs to happen here and in the EU. How it shakes out no one knows. To many factors in figuring out whats going to happen. All we know is we are 15 trillion in debt and no one can figure out what to cut and how to cut it. The more it grows and no one does anything about it the worse its going to be when we do fail and its going to happen you can't keep printing monopoly money and have zero gold to back it up and borrow borrow borrow and only pay on the interest payments. When it happens look out its going to get nasty.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PistoneScrapProcessing View Post
    ... I can remember getting 80 bucks a ton from the yard for torch material....
    Yes, it can happen. Light Iron went from $150 a ton on 7/21/08 to $25 a ton on 10/17/08. #1 Iron went from $265 to $50 at the same time.

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    Ewasted started this thread.
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    I remember when that happened in '08... we were sitting on several tons of #2 insulated, copper fell out of bed!
    If economies crumble, metals will lose their value due to law of supply and demand.

    The only value will be barter value, if history repeats itself, gold, silver, etc.

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    Scrapette's Avatar
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    I'm pretty sure that if the ^%$# hits the fan, people will be worrying more about how to feed their families than collecting precious metals. You can't eat gold and you may not even be able to trade it for food, food may become the precious commodity . If I had extra cash, I'd be loading up on staples that will last a long time. If we face superinflation, I'd rather have the wheat and yeast to make the bread, then try to come up with the money or gold to buy it.

    It might also be a good idea to load up on things that people need - things that you can trade for other things. Things that keep people warm and dry. I visit Goodwill every chance I get and buy comforters and blankets. I also collect packing materials from furniture stores on trash night - things like foam and plastic - that can be used for insulation and waterproofing. What I don't need at the house, I store. We don't know what is coming but we do know what we need as biological entities to survive.

    My dad grew up poor in the Depression. They didn't have a lot of cheap stuff, they didn't have much stuff at all. Didn't have shoes or boots. Not a bad thing to stockpile they are quite cheap at thrift stores these days and at yard sales. Men will always need them and are less likely than women to have a large collection of them. OTC meds from the Dollar Store- if superinflation hits, they won't be a dollar anymore, but people will still have headaches and stomachaches. When people run out of the things they need, you can have them to trade for things you need (eggs, some gas etc.)

    If you have gold, you probably want to hold onto it for the bigger things.

    I think skills are important to collect as well - how to make a rocket stove, a homemade solar heater/water heater, how to garden, how to sew, make car repairs, purify water, how to propagate plants to name a few. We may end up living a lower tech life, it might be good to know how to do many of these things.

    Just a few thoughts. I picked up a large pickaxe, two large garden hoses, a fertilizer sprayer, a hoe, pruning shears, a watering can and a small rack that I'm going to use for seedings in my yet-to-be-made solar greenhouse today at a moving sale - all for $10.00 (Some of the items were free).The local extension office is going to offer a gardening class soon and I plan to take it. If nothing bad happens, I hope to have a nice garden and save money. If bad %$#@ happens, then I hope I can help others learn how to grow stuff too.
    Last edited by Scrapette; 11-25-2011 at 10:09 PM.
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    all of the above are exactly what I believe will hapen, it is a matter of not if but when. it started the day fiat dollars started, at that moment the world was litteraly on borwed time.

    the only thing that has changed is the value of fiat dollars and other fiat currencies. the prices have not really changed in over 2000 years just the value of the trade medum (money) I save all angle iron and other reusable scrap for barter, hard to manufacture items like rollers, pulleys. flat thin steel etc. the only thing of real value is what you can produce or barter something you have or can do for some one else. Wages after are only paper bartered for what you can do for some one else sort of a way to keep score. the problem is the rules of the game are about to change.

    in the new world order scroungers like us will be a valuable comodity, that is if we are allowed to remain free, whch is highly unlikely.
    Last edited by EcoSafe; 11-25-2011 at 11:24 PM.

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    factoid: no paper currency has survived more then 250 years give or take a few years.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PartTimeScrapper View Post
    Currently a quater minted between 1916 and 1964 is valued at $5.74 worth of silver.
    Serious? I am going to have to pay more attention when I get a batch of quarters in.

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    http://www.coinflation.com/
    They have coin calculators so you can find out exactly what's in a coin and how much,
    http://www.coinflation.com/silver_coin_values.html
    Last edited by Mechanic688; 11-27-2011 at 01:31 AM.
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    Thats the sight I used to get that value

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    The more I think about it the more I think that the government will probably freeze prices and wages to prevent hyperinflation and instability. The main job of the government is to maintain stability and prevent anarchy and it will do whatever it has to to do that. The real problem, as I see it, is that we won't be able to buy imported goods like oil and the other stuff we use in agriculture, transportation and manufacturing etc. If the dollar fails, we'll probably be in another war for oil before too long. We will also probably have rationing and rolling blackouts. We will have to face our dependence on foreign goods. Which, in the long run, might end up being a good thing. Ultimately, there is not much we can't produce here. Our dependence on foreign countries for oil and goods has caused us a lot of major problems. If it happens, it might be a good time for recyclers as we try to repurpose and reuse what we already have.

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    History is an interesting thing. Although the circumstances are different I will remind you of the following. During our great depression Europe didn't have as long lasting or as deep a depression.

    It can be argued that the over control placed on the US economy by FDR caused the extent of our great depression. It wasn't til after WWII when Truman cut the federal government and cut taxes did we really recover.

    Please remember after WWII all those men returned wanting a job. The war effort production was over so it is amasing that we didn't return to the pre-war depression. I fear we may again repeat all or part of those past mistakes. All we can do is vote (just once) and prepare our families as best we can. Mike.

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    Back in the 80s (gold 300 oz) I was in a bar up in Alaska and there was an old timer sitting at the bar and he pulled out a good sized sack and the bartender pulled out a scale and he paid in gold flake. I was told he came to town once a month or so by plane stocked up and back to his claim. Thinking about going prospecting next summer. If the @#$ hits the fan those folks in Alaska with that scale and that sack won't notice too much.

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    Quote Originally Posted by miked View Post
    History is an interesting thing. Although the circumstances are different I will remind you of the following. During our great depression Europe didn't have as long lasting or as deep a depression.

    It can be argued that the over control placed on the US economy by FDR caused the extent of our great depression. It wasn't til after WWII when Truman cut the federal government and cut taxes did we really recover.

    Please remember after WWII all those men returned wanting a job. The war effort production was over so it is amasing that we didn't return to the pre-war depression. I fear we may again repeat all or part of those past mistakes. All we can do is vote (just once) and prepare our families as best we can. Mike.
    I always heard that the economic conditions in Germany were what led to the rise of the Third Reich.


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