
Originally Posted by
rbrooks715
while the price has increased, the yield is what i am discussing. yield continues to drop, due to the smaller amount of pm being used in circuit boards, while the cost to recover that smaller yield is increasing.
What I am saying is that from 2005 until now, the yield has not really dropped. There is a very good reason for this. Businesses are in the business of making money. When the cost of production goes up, they respond by doing one of two things, either passing on that expense to the customer, or cutting costs in the production of those items.
Traditionally it has just been passed along to the customer, and this is why we see prices continue to climb. When consumers in the United States were no longer willing to bear this expense, manufacturers sought cheaper labor. This created a huge buffer for manufacturers to play with. We are still enjoying the benefit of inexpensive labor currently.
The actual value of gold or other precious metals in electronics makes up a very small percentage of the overall cost of those items. Manufacturers are far more concerned with labor at this point, than they are precious metals. Lets take a smart phone for example.
There are 0.034 grams of gold in each cell phone, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. That's the equivalent of 0.001 troy ounces, worth about $1.60 at today's prices.
There are also 16 grams of copper, worth about 12 cents, 0.35 grams of silver, worth 11 cents, and 0.00034 grams of platinum, valued at 54 cents.
You can see that there is not enough precious metals involved in smart phones to worry about using them. That is how efficient plating technologies currently are. It isn't about the cost of the precious metals, it's more about the SUPPLY of precious metals that is driving industry to seek other methods of conducting electricity. It has even been suggested that more readily available metals such as copper and tin, could be used because people throw their electronics away so quickly, so keep stock piling copper, it's the next silver.

Originally Posted by
rbrooks715
corrosion. electrical circuit. anything that interferes with the completion of a electrical circuit. oxidation is a form of corrosion.
Oxidation is part of corrosion but it is NOT corrosion
Corrosion involves two chemical processes…oxidation and reduction. Oxidation is the process of stripping electrons from an atom and reduction occurs when an electron is added to an atom. You need both of these, strictly speaking, to claim corrosion. Gold does not oxidize nor does it corrode no matter how little of it you use, unless it is alloyed more than 75% with other metals, which is not the case with any electronics. When silver oxidizes, or tarnishes as you may know it, it builds up a protective layer that prevents any more oxidation. It is almost what is called non-reactive. Gold is plated over copper in electronics to prevent oxidation. Copper is similar to silver in this respect, in that once it oxidizes it builds up a protective layer, or what you may have seen as a green layer like on the Statue of Liberty, etc. If the protective layer is stripped off by lets say wind, rain, etc then a new layer is exposed, this could be considered corrosion because the electrons that were stripped left copper oxide on the outside, that then were able to combine with free atoms of water or air, and fell off. A good example of this would be rust on iron. But also a good example of oxidation before reduction would be the blueing you see on a gun. The metal is oxidized to create what gun smiths call a layer of rust, so that no more oxidation or reduction can continue.
You are right however, any oxidation builds resistance to electrical current. Of the precious metals used in electronics, silver is the only one that oxidizer, all the rest are non reactive.

Originally Posted by
rbrooks715
this is not about the numerous uses we now have that employ circuit boards. IF, the boards were to no longer having any pm for corrosion, there would not be enough yield from base metals to justify the processing of end of life material.
If all noble metals were removed from electronics, it would still be very profitable to process them for many reasons. The plastics alone would make it worth while. All the base metals would make it worth while. The other materials would make it worth while. Even the stuff you think would not be worthwhile is, I am working with a company that takes slag for example, and creates long fibers using other waste materials in the long glass fibers, then mixes them with different types of cement to create cement of far superior strength. Because the waste materials are actually included in the glass slag, they are made inert but strengthen the cement considerably. 99% of electronics is recyclable.
There is currently a silver shortage

Originally Posted by
rbrooks715
you are right. yet the market has not reacted to that at this time.
The market has not responded because silver is artificially deflated, as is gold, and the rest of the noble metals. They have to be deflated, if their real value were ever realized, industry would have to respond by raising prices, which would cause consumers to stop consuming, or buying however you want to say it, which would cause our economy worldwide to collapse. Silver will continue to be artificially deflated until such a time as industry is no longer using it in quantities that cause it to be in short supply. But as industry uses less and less noble metals, individual people purchase more and more. In China for example, people are purchasing gold from teller machines.
China installs gold vending machine, plans 2,000 more - GOLD NEWS - Mineweb.com Mineweb
There is more demand for precious metals than there are precious metals, which makes it even more profitable to process electronics, even if half as much precious metals were used. Matter of fact, precious metals are so valued that companies are buying up all the old mining claims, and processing the tailings. They contain precious metals in forms that were not profitable to process 20-30 years ago, but because of the value of those same metals today, it has made it highly profitable to process tailings for the sulfide ores, etc. So here is a good example of reduced content of precious metals, yet being extremely profitable to process. And believe me when I tell you, there is far less gold in a ton of tilings than in a ton of electronic waste. Matter of fact there is more precious metals in one ton of cell phones than 17 tons of ore.
Recycling Mining Tailings on Lake Superior · Environmental Management & Energy News · Environmental Leader
1 ton of cell phones has more gold than 17 tons of gold ore! - OMG Facts

Originally Posted by
rbrooks715
the dell motherboard failure. hp to a lesser amount. all caused by the lack of properly plated mating surfaces and minimal solder traces. the traces failed under load due to heat. the mating surfaces failed from corrosion.
I would actually like to read the article you obtained that information from, it's my understanding that it was not the noble metals in the Dell or HP motherboard failures, but was in fact faulty components that were leaking chemicals that cause the actual failures.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/29/te...anted=all&_r=0
http://support.bsiusa.com/PDF/OOW_Su...2006-05-04.pdf

Originally Posted by
rbrooks715
while both company's replaced mb's under warranty along with a bit of bad media, it has been shown that the majority of failed computers were simply replaced at the consumers expense.
the point, if the manufacturers can continue to sell their products using 'cheaper' ( less pm or the elimination of pm plating) then the recovery rate of those pm's will drop accordingly.
industrial standards have not dropped off to the same extent. but there are far fewer of those boards in circulation and they are not replaced as often.
I still don't believe it was the precious metals or lack of that caused the issue. It wasn't the copper plated with gold on the motherboard that caused failure, it was capacitors and other components that did so. Dell has not changed the equipment it uses for manufacturing motherboards, or rather plating the motherboards. To do so would be to incur a cost for tooling up that it just simply did not need to do. It would be an expense that really would add very little bottom line savings, thus industry will only tool up when either one of two things happen. When regulated by government or regulation entities to do so because of whatever reason, perhaps environmental. Or when the cost to benefit ratio makes it worth the time, effort, energy and cost. In other words, how many computers would need to be sold and an extra profit margin to pay for the expense of shutting down, purchasing and installing the equipment, training the employees, etc. You are talking about a year, or maybe longer, to employ this type of tool up. This is also the reason why most of the plating industry in the United States went belly up. When the EPA changed the laws, industry couldn't incur the cost so instead packed up and moved, or just simply shut down operations.

Originally Posted by
rbrooks715
the volume of circuit boards in use has increased. dramatically. over the past 35 years. which is not, does not, equate to an over all aggregate increase in pm usage in relation to the volume of product increase.
Or you can look at this in a different way. IF less precious metals are used in electronics, this also means that industry responded to higher precious
metal prices. The ration of value of metal, to how much is actually used, has gone up dramatically. So as metals become worth more, and less are used in electronics, still the VALUE of those metals increases the value of the metal to be recovered. So contrary to your argument, it becomes even more profitable because you don't have to process as much to get the same return on investment in scrap. Let me see if I can give you an example.
These are not actual numbers, I am just going to use them for argument sake.
Lets say there is 1 total gram of gold per each computer, and lets also say that 1 gram of gold is worth $15 dollars in 2005 (actual value) so that each computer produced in 2005 would be worth $15 dollars in gold.
Now lets say for whatever reason, industry decided to incur the cost to too up and make the gold plating twice as efficient so that now there is only .5 grams or 1/2 of a gram used in computers today. That would be, according to today's spot price, right around $25 dollars worth of gold in each computer.
Now lets look at this figure. In 2005, to make $100 dollars in gold, you would have had to process 6.6 computers, if half as much gold was used in new computers today, it still would only take 4 computers to make as much in gold. So you not only have to process fewer computers, but your costs involved in processing to make $100 is less, less time, less energy, less labor.
So to recap, industry will only incur the cost to tool up, to make plating precious metals more efficient if the cost of precious metals raises to such a point as to make it more profitable to do so.
Precious metal prices are artificially deflated to prevent the rise in cost for consumer goods so as not to affect our economy in a negative way.
Even if industry uses half as much precious metals in electronics, it will be because the price of precious metals has increased to such a point as to make it more profitable, which will make it less expensive to process the same $100 dollar value, thus making this investment, even if we are discounting all the other recycle benefits outside of precious metals, even more profitable.

Originally Posted by
rbrooks715
which takes me back to my original question. is a 3 million dollar investment to increase processing capability's a viable investment.
or more simply put. what is the cap rate of the project.
If we were to remove the value of precious metals utterly from figuring if this is profitable, it would be so. The person I know who is already installing a second processing line, is not doing this for the precious metals, he's doing it for the other materials. The precious metals are just a benefit. Matter of fact, he has them processed and then hoards the precious metals as a commodity for obvious reasons.
Or if you doubt what I am saying, just look around in your own state, check how many of these types of businesses are springing up. The recycling industry has enjoyed tremendous growth!
The U.S.
electronics recycling industry has shown tremendous growth over the past 10 years. This maturing segment of the scrap recycling industry provides a boost of approximately $5 billion to the U.S. economy (up from less than $1 billion in 2002) and employs more than 30,000 full time employees (up from 6,000 in 2002).
Electronics Recycling
I hope my post isn't too cumbersome, or is taken as being argumentative or combative. I enjoy the discourse. I believe in backing up what I have said with information I have read. I am not going off half cocked here, anytime I post anything, I try to make sure it's real, and true. In doing so, I truly hope that I help someone else become more profitable or to make a better business decision. I spend a lot of time on my posts when I choose to do so, because I honestly feel it is a worthwhile pursuit to help other people understand these things in more detail. It's also the reason why I read so many of the valuable posts on this forum, because they in turn help me become better in my own business.
Scott
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